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吕朴:对“一带一路”的看法

May 15, 2017

目前国内还有大量贫困人口,还有大量需要解决的重大经济社会问题,都需要大量的资金。面对这样的国内情况,还要把几千亿美元投入到“一带一路”上,用于其他国家(很多国家比中国要富足得多)的建设。这种王顾左右而言他的局面是对中国国民负责任的态度吗?!

诸如严重污染环境生态的恢复,这关系到全民长期的身体健康;广大农民工普遍得不到国民待遇,享受不到应该得到改革红利的严重问题;精简机构、降低政府费用、实现正常的政商关系,建立正常的市场经济机制和体制;降低税负、减轻企业负担;制止滥发钞票、通货膨胀、肆意掠夺国民财富,复归正常金融秩序,理顺实业与金融的关系;实现党的体制改革,建立正常国家的政党、国家、军队关系,正常的经济、社会与政府的关系。国家现在面临的种种亟待解决重大问题,有些是改革开放以来形成的,有些是建政以来就存在而长期没有解决的。

相比之下是解决这些问题重要还是搞“一带一路”、实现“世界建设”更重要?结论不是显而易见的吗。明了责任而不承担,这是执政者应有的基本态度吗?

转移国内多余产能,这是我们自己的单边想象。我在非洲接触的中国工程技术人员,对我国“转移剩余产能”均表示没有可能。先不说掌握经济发展的很多非洲人是见过世面的,知道世界生产设备的各方面情况。对于中国剩余产能设备水平是看不上眼的。其次非洲国家发展缓慢,关键在于人们对于“快乐、幸福”的观念和我们不一样。他们的“快乐幸福观”,一天不扭转就一天发展不起来。

国内很多人,不了解国外情况,只是关着门单凭自己的想象、闭门造车!

国家的国际生存空间是靠什么得到,是靠国家依据国家经济实力,遵循国际经济政治秩序、贸易秩序才能得到。世界上那么多的中小国家不都是这样做的。而且只有国家经济实力才是实现国际生存空间的坚实基础。

靠给别人送钱得到的空间,国外的接受执政者者大多数是无赖,很难长期执政,一旦下台,“空间”立即化为泡影。就是舆论影响,在国内是赔本赚吆喝(真相被隐瞒),在国外是赔本得羞辱(真相瞒不住)。

我们必须首先要搞清楚国内经济实力和国际生存空间的关系。

“一带一路”既是“中国模式”的恶性膨胀,又是对于行途末路党权体制的最大赌注!

20170513

——转自独立评论(2017-05-14)

 

中国人权双周刊》第209期,2017年5月12日—5月25日

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